Some effects of government programs on Arizona upland cotton allotments

Published in 1972

Analysis of the effects of recent upland cotton programs on the organization, income, and allotment value for representative Arizona cotton farms was the focus for this research study. Step wise multiple-linear-regression analysis was applied to historical farm sales data using sale price as a dependent variable. Allotment value estimates were derived from the regression analysis and graphically compared to per-acre allotment income estimates for representative Arizona farms. This study also analyzed the 1970 allotment yield and ownership patterns in Arizona's five major cotton producing counties. Multiple regression analysis was used to investigate the relationship between projected yield and ownership characteristics for Arizona cotton farms. The farms were then classified according to their 1970 payment level, and analysis of variance techniques were used to compare group means for ownership variables and projected yield.

Per-acre allotment income and value in Arizona have trended downward since 1963. This decline can probably be attributed to the increasing uncertainty regarding future benefits to be derived from the government programs.

Allotment ownership characteristics exhibited neither a consistent nor a significant relationship to yield variability. In each of the counties, and for the state as a whole, significant differences in average projected yield existed between farm-size groups.

AZU_TD_BOX270_E9791_1972_156.pdf (1.67 MB)

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